View from the summit: The Best Laid Plans...Navigating Uncertainty During COVID-19

Day 2 of PHASTAR’s Life Science Summit began with an insightful and engaging plenary panel discussion with Dr. Janet Wittes, Prof. Stephen Senn and Prof. Frank Harrell, focusing on “The Best Laid Plans...Navigating Uncertainty During COVID-19”. Each panelist gave a short presentation, followed by a lively Q&A session chaired by PHASTAR’s Head of Statistical Research, Prof. Jennifer Rogers.

Dr. Wittes kicked off day 2 delivering a candid assessment of how the COVID-19 pandemic has changed her thinking on a variety of aspects of clinical trials while pondering on if, and how, future clinical trials will ever look post-COVID-19. She highlighted the fact that presently there are over 500 COVID-19-related clinical trials and the number is growing. A key aspect of her talk focused on how we might use this unfortunate situation to learn and adapt our approaches so in the post-COVID-19 settingclinical trials might be more efficient and better designed.

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View from the Summit: Prof Thomas Jaki and the challenges of designing clinical trials during a pandemic

PHASTAR was delighted to welcome Prof. Thomas Jaki to the opening plenary session of PHASTAR’s Life Science Summit. Conducting clinical trials in a novel disease during a pandemic presents unique challenges and this presentation highlighted Prof. Jaki’s personal experiences from being involved in the current COVID-19 outbreakHere we present a summary of Prof. Jaki’s presentation and put your questions to him that he was unable to answer during the session. 

His talk kicked off by summarizing RCT experience during the 2014 Ebola epidemic in West Africa, which set the stage for fast RCT design and implementation during the current pandemic.

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Epidemiological models for COVID-19: Why so many models and why all the fuss? - Dr LaRee Tracy, Head of Biometrics, San Diego

Epidemiological models for COVID-19: Why so many models and why all the fuss?

Years ago, I spent several months painfully developing a mathematical prediction model to evaluate decreases in cervical cancer prevalence assuming introduction of papillomavirus vaccination in a developing country with different sexual mixing patterns1. The project required collaboration with virologists, social epidemiologists, and mathematicians as is often necessary when constructing epidemiological models reliant on biological, social, and statistical factors, among others. Along the way, I gained a strong appreciation for the complexity of these models, but also that every model depends upon assumptions laden with variability and uncertainty. Beginning as early as December 2019, reports surfaced about clinical cases in Wuhan, China of a new disease, later termed COVID-19, due to infection with a novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2. On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic2 at a time when there were 118,000 cases in 114 countries. Now, by May 28, 2020, there are over 5.8 million COVID-19 cases contributing to more than 360,000 deaths in 213 countries and territories3. In a scramble to understand the pandemic’s trends and trajectories, several epidemiological models have been developed aimed at predicting or forecasting COVID-19 cases, burden on the healthcare system, and overall mortality, given assumptions and available information. One might ask, why so many models producing different results? The aim of this paper is to summarize the key concepts and types of epidemiological models, why they are useful and limitations.

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PHASTAR: embracing remote working

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, many companies have taken steps to enable all of their employees to work from home. In addition to any existing home working procedures, further investments in to infrastructure and server capabilities should be considered, to ensure uninterrupted, effective home working for all employees, be that in a small company or a worldwide business such as PHASTAR’s. For example, PHASTAR’s IT department has provided additional support to staff through many avenues including VPN access, client system access and hardware in order to ensure that all staff can all provide the same level of support to our clients and their needs.

Whilst some employees may have been working from home for many years, it ought to be recognised that this will be a new experience for many others. From PHASTAR’s perspective, we are proud of the way that our team has risen to the challenge and continue to support clients without any interruptions to service or delivery – even recently completing a project ahead of schedule!

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Rapid database deployment

Clinical trial research is a fast-paced industry whereby the requirement to bring lifesaving and life changing drugs to market quickly, to meet patients needs, is a constant driver to looking for time saving innovations. As a result, pharmaceutical companies are frequently looking for ways to expedite clinical trial set up and execution while maintaining regulatory compliance and data quality.

At PHASTAR, we provide tailor made EDC solutions for our clients that will allow rapid set up and deployment, partnering with our EDC partners Medrio and Medidata to achieve this. During the contracting phase of a new study, importance is placed on actively engaging our partners and clients in exploring solutions for data capture that will ensure efficient database set-up, short timelines and quality data collection. For example, innovative and flexible forms to support long-term observational studies where data collection may vary between subjects depending on the local healthcare provider, ensuring flexibility while maintaining quality.

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